|
|
We
both deserved a holiday yesterday, but a relentless pursuit of truth, justice,
and the American way knows no rest. So
if you missed yesterday’s column, it’s here. Today’s
is here: BATTERY
BREAkTHROUGH It runs
on air (sort of). And whether or not this is “the”
breakthrough, it’s just one more sign that – if as a species we
play our cards right – bright days lie ahead. But
in the meantime . . . UNDERSTANDING
THE CHRYsLER BAILOUT The
senior bondholders are getting almost nothing and the unions wind up with 55%
of the company – how can that be? It
turns out this makes sense. You can read more detail here,
but the essence is that Chrysler without the government bailout is being
valued at $2 billion – and the senior creditors are getting every penny of
that. (If you think Chrysler without a government bailout is worth more
than $2 billion, step right up and make an offer.) The government is
under no obligation to bail out bondholders, and sees no pressing national need
to do so . . . so that $2 billion is all they wind up getting.
Pennies on the dollar. But then, with “old Chrysler” dead and
buried, with no remaining creditors as it emerges from bankruptcy, the
government invests in new Chrysler, providing cash to give it a chance
to remake itself. In exchange for a 55% stake in the new company,
Chrysler’s workers agree to major contract concessions. However
it ultimately plays out (and perhaps similarly with GM), there is considerable
thought behind the process. If it works, the taxpayers may even one day
get some or all their money back. 39 MPG
BY 2016 Meanwhile,
the agreement to up fuel efficiency “CAFE” standards to 39 mpg for
passenger cars by 2016 is a bold move toward reduced dependence on foreign oil
and reduced carbon emissions. Predictably, the Wall Street Journal
takes a dim
view, noting that consumers have shown no interest in buying fuel
efficient cars when gasoline is under $4 a gallon, and dismissing the
possibility of our ever imposing taxes that would create such a floor.
(In silly old Europe, gas always costs double or
triple the price here, with that added tax going to pay for, oh, I don’t
know – free health care?) But gasoline surely will cost more
than $4, either because revived demand drives the price back up and/or because
we come to our senses and – yes, I know this is America, but will we ever*
do the smart thing? – tax it more heavily. *Quoting a broken
record on this point (myself): “Were we wise, in 1973, after the
first OPEC oil shock, to keep the government from ‘intervening’
with a thoughtful reorientation of our federal tax system? Namely, by lowering
the income tax on work and investment (both of which we want to encourage)
and replacing that lost revenue by raising the federal tax on gasoline
consumption (which we want to discourage) by, say, a dime a gallon per
year – forever – thereby to encourage fuel efficiency? The
failure of government to meddle in this way has had monumental, tragic
consequences for our country. (And, by the way, we should still do it.)
Had we taken this step in 1973 or 1974, our auto industry today would lead the
world in fuel efficient technology; we would, as a nation, collectively be
untold trillions of dollars wealthier (for not having had to send those untold
trillions overseas to buy oil); we’d enjoy greater national security;
Ford’s preferred dividend would be as solid as a rock.”
|
Webdesign by Marc Fest
© Copyright Andrew Tobias