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To get
a leg up in life, keep your feet on the ground, your ear to the ground,
your nose to the grindstone, your head on your shoulders, your shoulder to the
wheel, your eye on the ball, your finger on the pulse, your chin up and your
hand in. Being limber helps. (If
that sounds familiar, you read it here last Fall. I’m into partial summer
reruns. If “60 Minutes” can do it, so can I.) FLORIDA IS A MESS Here’s
how to fix it. (Start by fixing the legislature.) WHO’S RIGHT? Yesterday
I referred to the bullish stance of my smart friend John Hook, whose model
portfolio is already up 32% for the year, and the bearish stance of
someone named Niels Jensen, who John Mauldin thinks is very smart (which is
good enough for me). Mr. Jensen says: run for your life! Who’s right? The the bulls or the bears? According to Jeremy Grantham’s quarterly letter (and Jeremy
can match anyone for smart), both are right. The stimulus here and
abroad is so massive, he says, and stock markets are so sensitive to massive
stimulus, “we are likely to have a remarkable stock rally, far in excess
of anything justified by either long-term or short-term economic
fundamentals.” He sees the S&P rising to 1000 or 1100
before the end of the year from today’s 900 (up from 666 in March)
– based largely on false hopes. But that’s okay; false hopes
are good, too. Whatever works. I’m not doing Jeremy justice. Read
the whole letter for yourself. It’s long, so I’ll stop typing
and yield the balance of my time.
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