Oh - and we just might live forever
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STOP THE PRESSES! From
the New York Times yesterday: “Two monkeys with tiny sensors in their brains have
learned to control a mechanical arm with just their thoughts . . . ” This is very good
news for those of us who want to live forever, or at least for a very long
time. As I wrote half a year
ago: My conception has long been that technology
is on such an astonishing exponential trajectory – we've begun mapping the
human genome, for crying out
loud! Oh, look, we’ve finished! – that one day soon we’d be
able to download our consciousnesses into a brain bank, basically, where we’d
be able to do almost all the things we do now . . .
email our friends, watch Seinfeld reruns, order movies on demand, play web
boggle, go for virtual treks to Machu Pichu
. . . a world in which the big addiction would be not cocaine or meth but the orgasm button. (In a
brain bank, you wouldn’t literally press buttons. But how far are we now from being able to
send electrical impulses from our brains?
Not very far.) Class warfare would be primarily between the
virtual humans, like me, with 500 years of compound interest enhancing my vast
fortune, and the physical humans, like some 25-year-old with an actual screw
driver. I’d have $50 trillion (a good
chunk of it in Borealis stock); but he would have the ability to disconnect me. F Well, it seems
we are not so far at all from
“being able to send electrical impulses
from our brains,” thereby to control our TiVos. (And if Ray Kurzweil is right, as I wrote in that same column, we might
not even need to surrender our bodies.) I
know this is a tiny bit creepy. But consider the alternative. A NON-FUNDRAISING
LETTER You know how Well, I feel much the same way about Congressman Barney Frank’s
fundraising letters. Why haven’t they
been collected in a book? Foolishly, I haven’t saved them over the years. But I thought I would share his latest. Dear Friends: Political life has an enormous number of
benefits. One of the things I most dislike is to hear my colleagues complain
about the terrible burdens under which we labor, and give the impression that
they are doing the world an enormous favor by holding onto their jobs. In fact, in the majority of instances the
facts are exactly the opposite: we want very much to keep our jobs and are
prepared to impose on relatives, friends, random passers-by and others in an
effort to do so. But there is one downside. Precisely because we are in a position where
we are allowed – even expected – to solicit people for favors, money, kind
words, etc., we can come to think of this as the normal form of human
interaction. In particular, there is a
very real possibility that we can transform ourselves into one of the most unpleasant
of characters: an acquaintance from whom you hear only when he or she needs something. So I am writing this to you simply to stay
in touch, and it includes no request whatsoever for money, praise, moral
support or anything else. It is simply a
letter to people who have been extremely good friends and who have made the
career that I continue to enjoy possible. This has been a very exciting time for me,
more exciting than anticipated. From the
standpoint of the country, it would obviously have been good if it had been
less exciting. I took over the Chairmanship
of the Committee on Financial Services precisely at the time when the subject
matters in the jurisdiction of that committee became among the most important
facing the country. We deal not only with housing in both the public and
private sectors, but insurance, banking, and the securities industry in all of
its recent, exotic transmogrifications. Consequently, I have been working much
harder at this job than I can remember working since my first years as
Executive Assistant to [Boston Mayor] Kevin White, and I am forty years older
today than I was then, which is not an enormous advantage overall. (More wisdom and a lot less energy does not make the ideal trade-off.) The result is that I have seen my horizons
shrink in some ways. I now know a very
great deal about those things that are in the jurisdiction of my committee, and
less about almost everything else than I have ever known in my life. But the responsibility of trying to cope in
both the short and long term with this financial crisis takes precedence. There is a silver lining to the dark cloud
that the current economic situation presents.
I have for years been frustrated by those who greatly over-argue the
case for our free market system. I am a capitalist,
and I believe it is clear that the free market system, properly run, is the
best way to generate wealth that human beings have ever come upon. But that system has both strengths and weaknesses,
and I have long felt that the need for a well financed and well run public
sector working along with the private sector has been substantially undervalued
in our politics. For nearly thirty
years, we have been governed excessively by the line from Reagan's first inaugural,
that "Government is not the answer to our problems; government is the
problem." People argued that economic growth is not
only a good thing, but a complete one, and that if we were to exceed on an
annual basis three percent growth, all would be well and all of our citizens
would prosper. Many of us argued that we
were growing in a way that exacerbated inequality unnecessarily, and that this
would have not only negative social consequences, but ultimately a deleterious economic
impact, but we were the minority. Dominant opinion also held that regulation
was a bad thing. The mantra here was
that of the distinguished economic philosopher and former Majority Leader, Dick
Armey, who insisted that "markets are smart and government is
dumb." From one perspective, recent
events may have borne that out. Some
observers may believe that the people who were doing business with Bear Stearns
were smart enough to get the dumb Federal Reserve to take care of them when the
investment decisions they had made went sour.
But I don't think that the ability of the market to stick the government
with the cost of its mistakes was what Armey had in mind. The lesson we should be drawing from this is
that, even though there are times when the government will in fact have to step
in to prevent greater economic troubles -- as I think the Fed ultimately did
appropriately in this case -- the most important thing for us to do is to put
in place rules that make it less likely that this will occur. So just as with the notion that we need not
worry about fairness in the distribution of income as long as we have growth,
the argument that the greatest threat to the market system is excessive
regulation has been substantially discredited by results. History is to some extent repeating itself in
the grand scale. The formation of large industrial
enterprises in the late nineteenth century led to the reforms known as the
anti-trust laws, the establishment of the Federal Trade Commission, and similar
actions under Theodore Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson. The subsequent flourishing of the stock
market and its steep decline beginning in 1929 led to the reforms instituted under
Franklin Roosevelt. In these cases, the
economic activity was largely beneficial, but it had negative side effects
(which of course were especially severe during the Great Depression) that had
to be curtailed by sensible regulation.
This is where we are today with securitization and the other exotic
market instruments. So while it would obviously have been much
better for the country if none of this negative activity had happened, we can
at least take some comfort in the fact that there is a broad recognition in the
country today politically that it is time for the kind of significant economic reforms
that we have seen in prior eras. This makes the 2008 election extraordinarily
significant. Of course the number one
issue remains the need to withdraw from this badly conceived and execrably
conducted war in I am very grateful to you and others who
have helped me get to the position where I am Chairman of the Financial
Services Committee so that I am able to participate in our efforts to deal with
this crisis in both the short and long terms. BARNEY FRANK F See what I mean? Have a great
weekend.
© 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 Andrew Tobias