(InflationGate?)
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JON STEWART ON LARRY KING Dean Reinemann:
“Larry brought up the subject of the primaries and asked Jon if F Ouch.
Bush is hardly a moron. He wanted
the rich – in particular the oil guys – to do well and they have (phenomenally
well). He promised to appoint more
Justices like Clarence Thomas and Antonin Scalia and
he did. He didn’t want to work terribly
hard and he hasn’t. He wanted to show
that government can’t do things very well, and he has. Morons are not usually so successful in
getting what they want. BIG TYPE Scott Nicol: “If you use Firefox, you might want to try nosquint. It remembers the zoom level you select (by
CTRL +/-) for each site you visit so that you only have to adjust it once. I have your site at 120%.” THEY’RE LYING TO US . . . Tom
Cuddy: “That Kevin Phillips link
last Thursday
was a great read. I remember when a lot of these statistical tweaks were
made. They were all reported on and we were warned by some that the
changes were made with a purpose in mind. But like a lot of issues, they
were forgotten. Our national policies are routinely adjusted based on
unreliable comparisons to earlier economic reports which used
different criteria for their measurements. That’s why a lot of Americans know that the
official unemployment figures, GDP numbers, and inflation are out of touch
with reality. Unemployment figures
especially are useless because of the revolution of the last 20 years in
which employers now use part-time and 1099 workers to a far greater degree.
In the construction industry, where I have been for the last thirty five years
I can say with conviction that fewer than 20% of on site construction workers
are employees. Count the 1099 guys
and illegals who have been axed and you would get a
truly gruesome image of how far construction employment has fallen. Yet I read that by some ridiculous
correction, construction employment is actually slightly on the rise!
In the words of Joe Pesci in my favorite movie, ‘My
Cousin Vinnie,’ that’s B.S.” TIPS John
McInnis: “If the Kevin Phillips article
is correct – that the government figures for inflation are grossly and
systematically understated – wouldn’t that mean that TIPS, whose payouts are
based on those statistics, are a lousy investment, in
effect guaranteed to return less than the real rate of inflation?” F Boy, can
you just imagine the class action suit to be waged over that? Talk about billions! (Except, doesn’t the Long-term TIPS (Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities) were a better investment when we bought them at
par than they are now, considerably higher.
But I have held most of mine, because (a) it’s still better inflation
protection than nothing and (b) I’ve kind of assumed that much of the “real”
inflation rate would eventually be reflected, as (for example) the rising cost
of gasoline worked itself into the allthe components
of core inflation. But I haven’t done as
much investigation of this as I should . . . and it may be instigation we need more
than investigation (as in: “TIPS holders and Social Security recipients of the
World, UNITE!”).
© 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 Andrew Tobias